Forecasting Vaping Health Risks through Neural Network Model Prediction of Flavour Pyrolysis Reactions

Abstract

Vaping involves the heating of chemical solutions (e-liquids) to high temperatures prior to lung inhalation. A risk exists that these chemicals undergo thermal decomposition to new chemical entities, the composition and health implications of which are largely unknown. To address this concern, a graphed-convolutional neural network (NN) model was used to predict pyrolysis reactivity of 180 e-liquid chemical flavours. The output of this supervised machine learning approach was a dataset of probability ranked pyrolysis transformations and their associated 7,307 products. To refine this dataset, the molecular weight of each NN predicted product was automatically correlated with experimental mass spectrometry (MS) fragmentation data for each flavour chemical. This blending of deep learning methods with experimental MS data identified 1,169 molecular weight matches that prioritized these compounds for further analysis. The average number of discrete matches per flavour between NN predictions and MS fragmentation was 6.4 with 92.8% of flavours having at least one match. Globally harmonized system classifications for NN/MS matches were extracted from PubChem, revealing that 127 acute toxic, 153 health hazard and 225 irritant classifications were predicted. This approach may reveal the longer-term health risks of vaping in advance of clinical diseases emerging in the general population.